As the Hubei Iali, Chairman of apparel company, his lack of orders at this time last year, but staff is adequate, just sew Turner has more than 900 people. Instead at this time of the year, orders into June, but cut only by more than 400 people. "Orders also increased, both at home and abroad, but my lack of four hundred or five hundred people, qianjiang, Hubei Province as a whole may be missing more than 10,000 sewing worker. "On April 1, said he talked to reporters at present production.
Chen Mingquan is currently the situation of the manufacturing industry to speed up production, a microcosm of the rapid economic rise. According to the figures provided by the Federation of logistics and purchasing, March manufacturing purchasing managers ' index (PMI) for 55.1% than increased last month by 3.1%.
Points of view, manufacturing index of new orders, production, exports, employment is increasing rapidly. However, such a situation can be sustained is still difficult to determine.
Macro-Yu Bin, Minister of development research center of the State Council pointed out, economic growth in the first quarter of this year could break through the 12%, but the economy could come under pressure in the second half. Because the Chinese stimulus policy exit, slow economic recovery economy entities in developed countries, some countries are putting pressure on appreciation of the Chinese Yuan, which could impact on exports.
"Export growth in 30% for the first 2 months of the year, but did not reach such a level for the whole year is expected. "Cement International Summit on March 31, he said.
The State Council Executive meeting held on April 14 to discuss the economic situation in the first quarter, deployment to the next stage of work. Analysis of Central Bank's monetary policy Committee recently held a one-quarter sessions, proposed to continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, to grasp the implementation of monetary policy, rhythm and focus, maintain the continuity and stability of policies, according to the new situation and the new situation to improve the targeting of policies and flexibility, to flexible use of various tools of monetary policy, guide the total monetary and credit growth.
1-rapid manufacturing growth
Chen Mingquan told reporters that the orders of garment industry is rapidly increasing from starting after the Spring Festival this year.
Orders increased rapidly, making more serious staff shortages, he had taken a variety of approaches. Spring Festival holidays such as employees, each of old employee working for 200 blocks, 200 block grants for new employees. Staff accommodation free of charge, employees only need to eat $ 1.5 to 2 times a day. Employees ' wages would rise, such as the annual salary from $ per cent in 2008, rising to $ 17,000 in 2009 and in 2010 will reach $ 18,000.
But he is still unhappy with the staff. He feels this is about clothing factories in villages and towns increased, besides a large number of staff diverted to other industries. "After no one in this industry, it's to increase the wages, and increased welfare, reduce working hours in order to attract people. "He said reporters.
Chen Mingquan decided to catering are all free and see if I can attract some staff.
His job in the country's manufacturing sector there are. According to the statistics of Federation of logistics and purchasing, March in China National manufacturing sector index 52.9%, than by 3% last month. National Bureau of statistics said, this is the highest point in 6 months, displayed as the increase in the volume of new orders, manufacturing demand for labour is a growing momentum.
March manufacturing production and new orders rose quickly in the field. Index of new orders in the month of 58.1% than increased last month by 4.4%. State Statistical Bureau's report points out, this month almost 90% of the enterprises surveyed believe that the product order quantity up or flat over the last month, suggesting that strong growth in new orders in the manufacturing sector, increasing market demand in the manufacturing economy continued to hold up well.
Xia Lingmin, Director of the Centre, told reporters China textile industry association, textile industry orders good for the first 2 months of the year, whether it is domestic or export. Domestic orders accounted for 80% of the total, situation for the whole year is expected to be better than last year.
Current textile industry data has not been out of the March, but export delivery value 1 per cent from the same period fell 8.1% to 14.3%.
PMI mining consulting experts in the analysis of Yu Ying believes that link the value of PMI in March increased by 3.1%, up by 2.7%. Stability of sequential value, indicates that the overall macroeconomic situation, rapid growth has been generated by the stimulus back down to normal levels.
2-economy next trend is still difficult to judge
However, although March's rapid economic growth, next trend remains difficult to optimistic.
Chen Mingquan pointed out that current clothing orders quickly increased, and abroad is not much, it is difficult to determine what can increase how long will it maintain the order. "The situation is a turnaround in the second half of the 08, whether there is a similar situation this year, to observe. ”
Judging this year's GDP growth at more than 12% in the industry, mainly of lower economic growth rate in the same period last year. Economic growth in the first quarter of last year was 6.1%, was for many years the minimum value.
Start obvious economic upturn in the second quarter of last year, to 10.7% per cent in the fourth quarter of last year. Yu Bin believes that economic downside pressure will continue to increase in the second half of this year.
Therefore, taking into account the economy may slow down in the second half, fiscal policies prevent speed slide preparation should be, also there is no need in the near future to pursue high speed "while should prevent prices rising too fast growth, in advancing key areas of focus on reform. "He said.
His judgment, taking into account the global trade frictions increase, appreciation, and other factors, China's export situation this year is not easy to determine. Statistics show that 1 decline in the trade surplus of more than 50%, in early March, the trade deficit with the country a rare.
National Bureau of statistics report, starting from the price increase in emphasis on profit margins also damaged, it fell to some signal for the future economy.
Surveys show that in March prices rise significantly, mainly raw materials purchasing price index of 65.1%, continue to run high above 60% and 4% higher than the previous month. Near 40% of the enterprise considers this month rising purchase prices of the main raw materials, especially energy prices continue to rise.
Enterprise reflects, manufacturing raw material price volatility affected by multiple factors, procurement difficulties, profit margins shrink, directly affecting the enterprise production and management.
Yu Ying pointed out that higher demand start, prices of raw materials, energy input, drought push grain prices rose, is the power of high prices in the future, "this show increased risk of falling corporate profits. ”
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